| 
				  
 
			
			In article , Mike Coslowrites:
 
 The trick is to do that without creating more poor countries.
 
 At the present time, I doubt that is a concern.
 
 I meant that one of the poor countries would be the USA.
 
 And the fundamental question is: Why are countries poor in the first place,
 and how do countries get rich and stay rich without exploiting other
 countries?
 
 No substitute for the Econ 101 fundamentals that W3RV posted.
 
 Examples are what has happened to Japan. Korea is the present hot
 spot, but is slowing. China is ascendant now, but the inevitible will
 happen
 there. Mexico is now experiencing import concerns too.
 
 Remember NAFTA and the "giant sucking sound"? Where's Ross now?
 
 Ahh, there was some comic relief!
 
 Except Ross Perot was exactly right.
 
 Consider this, too: We got 8 years of Bill Clinton in large part because Perot
 split his opposition. We got Shrub in 2000 because Ralkph Nader did the same
 thing to *his* opposition. And now ol' Crazy Ralphie is poised to do it again.
 
 What happens when the cycle is complete, and the last third world
 nation is brought up to modern standards will be the interesting thing.
 
 First you have to understand why it hasn't happened yet.
 
 There are plenty of countries yet to bring up.
 
 The reasons it hasn't happened are things like:
 
 - Corrupt strongman governments
 - Overpopulation for the country's resources
 - Cultural factors that hinder development
 - Different values of the people
 
 In the short
 run, US labor has their head in the sand if they think there's something
 either party (Dems or Reps) can really do to stem the shift of
 manufacturing jobs overseas.  The same thing is going on in Europe.
 
 OTOH, unemployed workers can't buy the goods anyway. So what good are
 lower prices?
 
 You see, the big trick is to have all this happen without ourselves
 turning into a third world country. See below.
 
 And that trick is?
 
 As I see it, one of the first things to do is to stabilize the stock
 market. Right now it is so short term, that it will do damage to the
 companies involved, and to workers. The pressure to increase profits on
 the short time scales now involved makes longterm actions difficult if
 not impossible.
 
 The market is slowly but surely recovering from the boom dot bust debacle of
 2000.
 
 I don't subscribe to the Japanese lifetime employment thing, but at the
 
 base of it, there is a valid idea. Humans desire a little stability.
 Remove that stability, and a whole host of problems erupt. Employer
 loyalty goes away, and when that happens, things suffer. If I know my
 employer will just as soon get rid of me for .001 percent rise in their
 stock, I'm not going to be willing to stay in all night to make sure the
 project goes out the door on time.
 
 That and a whole lot more. In an environment where employees jump ship a lot,
 the continuity of how and why things are done is often lost and the same
 mistakes are made over and over.
 
 Note the present legislative efforts to shift workers from overtime
 eligible to salaried. From the supershort term view, this makes perfect
 sense. Reduction of the employees salary by mandatory unpaid overtime.
 This will make for a quick jump in profits. From a longer term
 perspective, it makes for a "what do we do next quarter to increase
 profits" issue, it makes the job less desireable, because now the
 employees are taking a wage cut, and they have it reinforced that their
 empoloyer would like nothing better than to get rid of them.
 
 Yup - and that's just one effect. Another is that tax revenue and consumer
 spending drop. Efficiency drops because more mistakes are made. The really good
 workers migrate to jobs that still pay decently and the employers find they are
 left with those who can't go anywhere else.
 
 And then the organized labor movement is revitalized as more and more workers
 realize their only strength is in unity. This costs companies even more in the
 form of strikes and restrictive contracts.
 
 73 de Jim, N2EY
 
 |