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[email protected] March 1st 05 06:50 PM

Michael Coslo wrote:
wrote:
Michael Coslo wrote:
wrote:


True. It would probably not fly either in the land of

entitlements.


Where is the "land of entitlements"? Sweden?


Bad question to ask me, since I would prefer more privilege
differences between General and Extra


Me too, but that's not how FCC has implemented it.


(Len will no doubt have interesting comments on that one)


Len's comments are rarely if ever interesting, IMHO. Error-laden,

yes,
but not interesting.


I concede the point! 8^)


;-)

If the nocodetest folks in the USA proposed options like
those they
might get a lot more support. But instead, we have folks like
NCVEC
telling us we must drop code *and* reduce the written still

more.

And how! Let's not forget that NCI also supports lowering the

test
requirements.


So do others that support automatic upgrades.


In principle I oppose automatic upgrades


Me too.


Point is, reducing the requirements hasn't promoted growth. Recall

that
before April 2000, the Tech required passing two written tests
totalling 65 questions. Now it's a single 35 question test - yet we
don't see growth!


My own take on the situation is that there are indeed new people

coming
into the hobby, as I hear and see new licensees on the air.


Yep. Same here.

But we are not seeing significant growth. Many of the people that
signed on ten years ago have left. There are some ham related

reasons,
and some not, such as increased cell phone usage, which has decimated


the "honeydew" Hams.


There's also the sad fact of things like hams becoming SKs and moving
into nursing homes, etc.

Back in the '50s and '60s, and maybe even into the '70s, almost all new
hams were teenagers or young adults. Young people still make up a good
percentage of new hams, but since about the mid-late 1970s we've seen
an increasing percentage of older people as newcomers. Indeed, back in
the early 1980s - *before* the Tech lost its code test - there was (and
still is) a surge of retired and almost-retired folks in these parts
getting ham licenses. Lots of new faces and lots of great hams, but
unfortunately most of them won't be hams long enough to join OOTC.

But it is indisputable that the reductions in requirements have NOT

had
any sort of significant positive impact on the Ham community.


Not long-term, anyway.

Despite the hand wringing, there is a place for achieving something
that means something. A test that is a challenge? So what? I

personally
think that the ARS is only strengthened by attracting people that

enjoy
a bit of a challenge.


That's a key point.

I think it has been adequately proven that many if not most of the
people that think that Element one needs to go away are also in favor

of
reduced overall licensing requirements. Certainly the leading
organization for removal of the Morse test is.


Yep. And if Element 1 is removed, and we still don't get growth, guess
what's next? NCVEC has already shown their hand.

Note that almost 5 years after the 200 restructuring we still
retain more than 50% of Novices and 75% of Advanceds.


This indicates to me a significant number of inactive hams. Sure, there
are some who are satisfied with their license privs, but I suspect a
lot more are SK or have dropped out.

The number of Techs continues to grow in part because all Tech Pluses
have been renewed as Techs since April 2000. But the total number of
Techs and Tech Pluses is s few percent lower than it was in 2000.

Agreed! But of course people have to know what ham radio *is* to

do
that!

Someone suggested some short commercial spots on time.



"on time"?


Typo! "one" time...

I wonder if that
has ever been done. Nothing too elaborate, just getting the
name out there.


Good idea, but expensive.


Seems like there are Hams that are professionals in the field that
might be willing to help!......


Still have to buy the time.

Yet the NCVEC folks say the solution is to create a class of ham
that
can't use rigs with more than 30 volts on the electronics...

Goofy, goofy, goofy!



Tell it to NCVEC. They think they know better than you.


From what I gather, their underlying concern was actually that they
think their VE's were having to work too hard.


Perhaps. Also, the "Amateur Radio in the 21st Century" paper equated
passing the code test with winning the Tour de France or painting the
Mona Lisa, and described the stress of dealing with grown people crying
because they'd flunked the code test....boo-hoo....

And it is the wrong approach. The proper approach is to allow

access
coupled with adequate education.


Watta concept!


Probably hopeless though! 8^)


Not unless we stop opposing bad ideas.

Shrub says hydrogen is the answer. Oh the humanity.


Hydrogen's energy density issues make for some problems. That

Excursion
will have to tack on another 10 miles per hour on trips to make up

for
all the fuel stops needed.


Naw, just liquefy the stuff.

The big problems a

- Handling a fuel that is a gas at STP is more complex than one that is
a liquid.

- Danger of fire and leaking pressure tanks

- Where's all the hydrogen supposed to come from?

You mean like dragging the gay marriage issue into the Social
Security problem? 8^)


Yep. The interesting thing is that allowing gay civil unions would
*increase* tax revenue.

And speaking of marriage: One thing I find interesting is that the
divorce rates in the "red" states are consistently and clearly

higher
than the rates in "blue" states. Seems those folks who rant and

rave
about "family values" and "covenants" can't seem to stay hitched

very
long.


All you have to do is meet some of the "reds", and you'll immediately


understand why they have such a high divorce rate......


Ya gotta be more specific than that!

Here's the kind of thinking being put forth:


One plan being suggested in DC is for the USA to create a special
savings account for each baby born in the USA, starting on a

certain
date. The Feds would put $2000 into each account each year until

the
kid reaches 18. Total investment $36,000. Assuming about 6% annual
interest, each account would be worth over a million dollars when

the
"baby" reached 65.

Nice retirement package, huh? Except it won't work for several

reasons
completely obvious to anyone with common sense.


Who pays that 6 percent interest?


That's the first problem.

The last time I checked, the rate
wasn't anywhere near that.


Bingo!

Taxes on that money? Capital gains?


The money would be tax exempt until the person began to draw upon it.

Inflation?


That's a BIG one!

~30 years ago, when I was entering the job market out of college,
entry-level engineers with degrees were making about what *minimum
wage* is now. Go back 50 years, and a $5000/yr income put the average
person on Easy Street, able to support a middle-class family in a way
that $50,000/yr won't do today.

Even if inflation stays low over the next 65 years, $1 million won't be
enough to retire on. What really matters, of course, is what I call
"differential interest" - the difference between inflation and the
apparent interest rate. If you get interest of 6% and inflation of 2%,
your money is really only growing at a rate of 4%.

Your going to have to have some sort of way that the guvmint
pays interest on the account when the prime is low, or you will be
creating a powerful incentive for citizens to want a high interest

rate
which is counterproductive to the economy......The list goes on and

on.

Yep.

Also interesting how everyone in the US will retire a millionaire!


Sounds good until the reality cuts in. There are lots of millionaires
today - on paper anyway.

Ain't gonna work!


Yet that isn't some wild-eyed idea - it's something our alleged
leadership has suggested!

Consider these other problems:

If there are, say, 4 million births per year, the govt. will need to
put $8 billion into the accounts the first year, $16 billion the second
year, $24 billion the third year, etc. This won't stabilize until the
18th year, when it reaches $144 billion per year being put aside in
these accounts. Most of that money would have to come from *new*
revenue sources, because the existing Social Security system would have
to continue to exist for a while. And that's based on *no* increase in
baby production!

Where's all that money supposed to come from?

Then there's the question of shenanigans. Some people will try to beat
the system in one way or another. More likely are govt. shenaningans -
it will be hard for the pols to keep their paws off all that money in
the accounts, just as they can't leave Social Security alone. Remember
that the *real* problem with Social Security is that the current
administration doesn't want to pay back what was borrowed! What's to
keep them from "borrowing" from the new system?

73 de Jim, N2EY


Michael Coslo March 1st 05 10:25 PM

wrote
Michael Coslo wrote:


snip

My own take on the situation is that there are indeed new people
coming into the hobby, as I hear and see new licensees on the air.



Yep. Same here.


But we are not seeing significant growth. Many of the people that
signed on ten years ago have left. There are some ham related
reasons, and some not, such as increased cell phone usage, which has decimated
the "honeydew" Hams.



There's also the sad fact of things like hams becoming SKs and moving
into nursing homes, etc.

Back in the '50s and '60s, and maybe even into the '70s, almost all new
hams were teenagers or young adults. Young people still make up a good
percentage of new hams, but since about the mid-late 1970s we've seen
an increasing percentage of older people as newcomers. Indeed, back in
the early 1980s - *before* the Tech lost its code test - there was (and
still is) a surge of retired and almost-retired folks in these parts
getting ham licenses. Lots of new faces and lots of great hams, but
unfortunately most of them won't be hams long enough to join OOTC.


The Demographic shift in Amateur Radio is similar to many other
hobbies/avocations. I think once the dust settles, the typical new ham
will be in his or her 40's, and wanting to have a new pursuit after
becoming financially stable and perhaps having a bit more spare time in
his hands.

The exact same thing has already happened in my other hobby, Amateur
Astronomy.


But it is indisputable that the reductions in requirements have NOT
had any sort of significant positive impact on the Ham community.



Not long-term, anyway.

Despite the hand wringing, there is a place for achieving something
that means something. A test that is a challenge? So what? I
personally think that the ARS is only strengthened by attracting people that
enjoy a bit of a challenge.



That's a key point.


I think it has been adequately proven that many if not most of the
people that think that Element one needs to go away are also in favor
of reduced overall licensing requirements. Certainly the leading
organization for removal of the Morse test is.



Yep. And if Element 1 is removed, and we still don't get growth, guess
what's next? NCVEC has already shown their hand.


Let us not forget NCI.


Note that almost 5 years after the 200 restructuring we still
retain more than 50% of Novices and 75% of Advanceds.



This indicates to me a significant number of inactive hams. Sure, there
are some who are satisfied with their license privs, but I suspect a
lot more are SK or have dropped out.


Pretty much

The number of Techs continues to grow in part because all Tech Pluses
have been renewed as Techs since April 2000. But the total number of
Techs and Tech Pluses is s few percent lower than it was in 2000.


Agreed! But of course people have to know what ham radio *is* to
do that!

Someone suggested some short commercial spots on time.


"on time"?


Typo! "one" time...

I wonder if that
has ever been done. Nothing too elaborate, just getting the
name out there.


Good idea, but expensive.


Seems like there are Hams that are professionals in the field that
might be willing to help!......



Still have to buy the time.


I would bet that a well thought out program could get some public
service spots on local access TV.

I guess I'm not inspiring you yet? 8^)


Yet the NCVEC folks say the solution is to create a class of ham
that
can't use rigs with more than 30 volts on the electronics...

Goofy, goofy, goofy!


Tell it to NCVEC. They think they know better than you.


From what I gather, their underlying concern was actually that they
think their VE's were having to work too hard.



Perhaps. Also, the "Amateur Radio in the 21st Century" paper equated
passing the code test with winning the Tour de France or painting the
Mona Lisa,


Wow! now I feel really great about passing!!! ;^)




and described the stress of dealing with grown people crying
because they'd flunked the code test....boo-hoo....


Funny you should mention that. the first time I took element 1... and
flunked... I was not pleased, but Figured I'd do it again, the person
who was the most upset was the VE. I felt worse for him than myself.


And it is the wrong approach. The proper approach is to allow


access

coupled with adequate education.



Watta concept!



Probably hopeless though! 8^)



Not unless we stop opposing bad ideas.


Shrub says hydrogen is the answer. Oh the humanity.



Hydrogen's energy density issues make for some problems. That


Excursion

will have to tack on another 10 miles per hour on trips to make up


for

all the fuel stops needed.



Naw, just liquefy the stuff.


Yoiks! Liquid H? Even if, the energy density is still quite a bit less
than gasoline. something like 25 percent.

Storage concerns are a big problem with the stuff. In a similar fashion
We have Natural gas buses in our area. Their tanks are on the bus roof,
and run the length of the bus. You just can't get as much energy out of
the stuff.


The big problems a

- Handling a fuel that is a gas at STP is more complex than one that is
a liquid.


- Danger of fire and leaking pressure tanks

- Where's all the hydrogen supposed to come from?


Yup. While seawater might seem like the obvious way out, hydrolysis of
seawater produces interesting byproducts.

Now tell the people in the western US that you want to take a huge
amount of their fresh water!! 8^) It is in short enough supply as it is.


You mean like dragging the gay marriage issue into the Social
Security problem? 8^)



Yep. The interesting thing is that allowing gay civil unions would
*increase* tax revenue.

And speaking of marriage: One thing I find interesting is that the
divorce rates in the "red" states are consistently and clearly


higher

than the rates in "blue" states. Seems those folks who rant and


rave

about "family values" and "covenants" can't seem to stay hitched


very

long.



All you have to do is meet some of the "reds", and you'll immediately
understand why they have such a high divorce rate......



Ya gotta be more specific than that!


hehe, when I think of the modern conservative, I keep getting this
vision od Old man Newt.


Here's the kind of thinking being put forth:



One plan being suggested in DC is for the USA to create a special
savings account for each baby born in the USA, starting on a


certain

date. The Feds would put $2000 into each account each year until


the

kid reaches 18. Total investment $36,000. Assuming about 6% annual
interest, each account would be worth over a million dollars when


the

"baby" reached 65.

Nice retirement package, huh? Except it won't work for several


reasons

completely obvious to anyone with common sense.


Who pays that 6 percent interest?



That's the first problem.


The last time I checked, the rate
wasn't anywhere near that.



Bingo!


Taxes on that money? Capital gains?



The money would be tax exempt until the person began to draw upon it.


Inflation?



That's a BIG one!

~30 years ago, when I was entering the job market out of college,
entry-level engineers with degrees were making about what *minimum
wage* is now. Go back 50 years, and a $5000/yr income put the average
person on Easy Street, able to support a middle-class family in a way
that $50,000/yr won't do today.

Even if inflation stays low over the next 65 years, $1 million won't be
enough to retire on. What really matters, of course, is what I call
"differential interest" - the difference between inflation and the
apparent interest rate. If you get interest of 6% and inflation of 2%,
your money is really only growing at a rate of 4%.


Your going to have to have some sort of way that the guvmint
pays interest on the account when the prime is low, or you will be
creating a powerful incentive for citizens to want a high interest


rate

which is counterproductive to the economy......The list goes on and


on.

Yep.


Also interesting how everyone in the US will retire a millionaire!



Sounds good until the reality cuts in. There are lots of millionaires
today - on paper anyway.


Ain't gonna work!



Yet that isn't some wild-eyed idea - it's something our alleged
leadership has suggested!


Hey yeah! The stock Market always goes up over the long term, right?
While that may be true, people keep applying it to irrelevant issues.
This case is just one of using interest in a way that sounds good if you
don't look too deep.


By the way, did you know the producer of the "Swiftboat Veterns" is now
producing smear videos and literature against the AARP? The same people
they eagerly worked with a year or two earlier.

no shame, at long last, no shame.


Consider these other problems:

If there are, say, 4 million births per year, the govt. will need to
put $8 billion into the accounts the first year, $16 billion the second
year, $24 billion the third year, etc. This won't stabilize until the
18th year, when it reaches $144 billion per year being put aside in
these accounts. Most of that money would have to come from *new*
revenue sources, because the existing Social Security system would have
to continue to exist for a while. And that's based on *no* increase in
baby production!

Where's all that money supposed to come from?



Tax cuts.

Then there's the question of shenanigans. Some people will try to beat
the system in one way or another. More likely are govt. shenaningans -
it will be hard for the pols to keep their paws off all that money in
the accounts, just as they can't leave Social Security alone. Remember
that the *real* problem with Social Security is that the current
administration doesn't want to pay back what was borrowed! What's to
keep them from "borrowing" from the new system?


Nada.

- Mike KB3EIA -


[email protected] March 2nd 05 06:46 PM


Michael Coslo wrote:
wrote
Michael Coslo wrote:


Back in the '50s and '60s, and maybe even into the '70s, almost all

new
hams were teenagers or young adults. Young people still make up a

good
percentage of new hams, but since about the mid-late 1970s we've

seen
an increasing percentage of older people as newcomers. Indeed, back

in
the early 1980s - *before* the Tech lost its code test - there was

(and
still is) a surge of retired and almost-retired folks in these

parts
getting ham licenses. Lots of new faces and lots of great hams, but
unfortunately most of them won't be hams long enough to join OOTC.


The Demographic shift in Amateur Radio is similar to many other
hobbies/avocations. I think once the dust settles, the typical new

ham
will be in his or her 40's, and wanting to have a new pursuit after
becoming financially stable and perhaps having a bit more spare time

in
his hands.

The exact same thing has already happened in my other hobby, Amateur


Astronomy.


Maybe.

But a lot of folks I know who are in their '40s don't fit your
description, struggling with jobs, kids, etc.

But it is indisputable that the reductions in requirements have NOT
had any sort of significant positive impact on the Ham community.


Not long-term, anyway.

Despite the hand wringing, there is a place for achieving

something
that means something. A test that is a challenge? So what? I
personally think that the ARS is only strengthened by attracting

people that
enjoy a bit of a challenge.


That's a key point.


I think it has been adequately proven that many if not most of the
people that think that Element one needs to go away are also in

favor
of reduced overall licensing requirements. Certainly the leading
organization for removal of the Morse test is.



Yep. And if Element 1 is removed, and we still don't get growth,

guess
what's next? NCVEC has already shown their hand.


Let us not forget NCI.


Basically that position consists of accepting almost any compromise
that will
get rid of the code test.

Note that almost 5 years after the 200 restructuring we still
retain more than 50% of Novices and 75% of Advanceds.


This indicates to me a significant number of inactive hams. Sure,

there
are some who are satisfied with their license privs, but I suspect

a
lot more are SK or have dropped out.


Pretty much


This has always been the case since I've been a ham. It's gotten worse
since
the 10 year license term.

The number of Techs continues to grow in part because all Tech

Pluses
have been renewed as Techs since April 2000. But the total number

of
Techs and Tech Pluses is s few percent lower than it was in 2000.


Agreed! But of course people have to know what ham radio *is* to
do that!

Someone suggested some short commercial spots on time.


"on time"?

Typo! "one" time...

I wonder if that
has ever been done. Nothing too elaborate, just getting the
name out there.

Good idea, but expensive.

Seems like there are Hams that are professionals in the field that
might be willing to help!......



Still have to buy the time.


I would bet that a well thought out program could get some public
service spots on local access TV.

I guess I'm not inspiring you yet? 8^)

Local access TV may bring in a few folks, but not like network TV.

Maybe PBS could do a special? Imagine if Ken Burns did a documentary on
amateur radio...

Yet the NCVEC folks say the solution is to create a class of ham
that
can't use rigs with more than 30 volts on the electronics...

Goofy, goofy, goofy!


Tell it to NCVEC. They think they know better than you.

From what I gather, their underlying concern was actually that

they
think their VE's were having to work too hard.



Perhaps. Also, the "Amateur Radio in the 21st Century" paper

equated
passing the code test with winning the Tour de France or painting

the
Mona Lisa,


Wow! now I feel really great about passing!!! ;^)

Didja read that paper, and my rebuttal?

and described the stress of dealing with grown people crying
because they'd flunked the code test....boo-hoo....


Funny you should mention that. the first time I took element 1... and


flunked... I was not pleased, but Figured I'd do it again, the person


who was the most upset was the VE. I felt worse for him than myself.


Lessee...I was 14 and flunked 13 wpm the first go because the examiner
couldn't read my longhand. What the sadistic IHM nuns called "Palmer
Method",
for some reason.

So I went home and taught myself to block print and copy Morse in big
square capital letters (a skill not taught in the parochial schools of
the day) and came back some weeks later, when I passed easily.

I don't think tears would have had any effect on ol' Joe Squelch back
then...

Shrub says hydrogen is the answer. Oh the humanity.


Hydrogen's energy density issues make for some problems. That


Excursion

will have to tack on another 10 miles per hour on trips to make up


for

all the fuel stops needed.



Naw, just liquefy the stuff.


Yoiks! Liquid H? Even if, the energy density is still quite a bit

less
than gasoline. something like 25 percent.

Storage concerns are a big problem with the stuff. In a similar

fashion
We have Natural gas buses in our area. Their tanks are on the bus

roof,
and run the length of the bus. You just can't get as much energy out

of
the stuff.


Didja know the USA is now *importing* LNG from the Middle East and
other places?

The big problems a

- Handling a fuel that is a gas at STP is more complex than one

that is
a liquid.


- Danger of fire and leaking pressure tanks

- Where's all the hydrogen supposed to come from?


Yup. While seawater might seem like the obvious way out, hydrolysis

of
seawater produces interesting byproducts.


Yep. Plus - where do you get the electricity to hydrolyze the seawater?

Now tell the people in the western US that you want to take a huge
amount of their fresh water!! 8^) It is in short enough supply as it

is.

Might as well develop electric cars...

You mean like dragging the gay marriage issue into the Social
Security problem? 8^)


Yep. The interesting thing is that allowing gay civil unions would
*increase* tax revenue.


And speaking of marriage: One thing I find interesting is that the
divorce rates in the "red" states are consistently and clearly


higher

than the rates in "blue" states. Seems those folks who rant and


rave

about "family values" and "covenants" can't seem to stay hitched


very

long.



All you have to do is meet some of the "reds", and you'll

immediately
understand why they have such a high divorce rate......



Ya gotta be more specific than that!


hehe, when I think of the modern conservative, I keep getting this
vision od Old man Newt.


You mean the "family values" guy who had divorce papers served on his
first wife (who had supported him through law school and the early
struggles of his political career) while she was *in the hospital
undergoing cancer treatment*?

Here's the kind of thinking being put forth:


One plan being suggested in DC is for the USA to create a special
savings account for each baby born in the USA, starting on a


certain

date. The Feds would put $2000 into each account each year until


the

kid reaches 18. Total investment $36,000. Assuming about 6% annual
interest, each account would be worth over a million dollars when


the

"baby" reached 65.

Nice retirement package, huh? Except it won't work for several


reasons

completely obvious to anyone with common sense.

Who pays that 6 percent interest?



That's the first problem.


The last time I checked, the rate
wasn't anywhere near that.



Bingo!


Taxes on that money? Capital gains?



The money would be tax exempt until the person began to draw upon

it.


Inflation?



That's a BIG one!

~30 years ago, when I was entering the job market out of college,
entry-level engineers with degrees were making about what *minimum
wage* is now. Go back 50 years, and a $5000/yr income put the

average
person on Easy Street, able to support a middle-class family in a

way
that $50,000/yr won't do today.

Even if inflation stays low over the next 65 years, $1 million

won't be
enough to retire on. What really matters, of course, is what I call
"differential interest" - the difference between inflation and the
apparent interest rate. If you get interest of 6% and inflation of

2%,
your money is really only growing at a rate of 4%.


Your going to have to have some sort of way that the guvmint
pays interest on the account when the prime is low, or you will be
creating a powerful incentive for citizens to want a high interest


rate

which is counterproductive to the economy......The list goes on and


on.

Yep.


Also interesting how everyone in the US will retire a millionaire!



Sounds good until the reality cuts in. There are lots of

millionaires
today - on paper anyway.


Ain't gonna work!



Yet that isn't some wild-eyed idea - it's something our alleged
leadership has suggested!


Hey yeah! The stock Market always goes up over the long term, right?



Yep. Whether it keeps up with inflation is another issue.

While that may be true, people keep applying it to irrelevant issues.


This case is just one of using interest in a way that sounds good if

you
don't look too deep.


By the way, did you know the producer of the "Swiftboat Veterns" is

now
producing smear videos and literature against the AARP? The same

people
they eagerly worked with a year or two earlier.


The Swift Boat dude has been playing that game for decades. Never mind
that lots of other vets, who served *with* Mr. Kerry, tell a completely
different story.

no shame, at long last, no shame.


Didn't AARP lose membership for supporting Shrub's prescription plan?


Consider these other problems:

If there are, say, 4 million births per year, the govt. will need

to
put $8 billion into the accounts the first year, $16 billion the

second
year, $24 billion the third year, etc. This won't stabilize until

the
18th year, when it reaches $144 billion per year being put aside in
these accounts. Most of that money would have to come from *new*
revenue sources, because the existing Social Security system would

have
to continue to exist for a while. And that's based on *no* increase

in
baby production!

Where's all that money supposed to come from?



Tax cuts.


HAW!

Then there's the question of shenanigans. Some people will try to

beat
the system in one way or another. More likely are govt.

shenaningans -
it will be hard for the pols to keep their paws off all that money

in
the accounts, just as they can't leave Social Security alone.

Remember
that the *real* problem with Social Security is that the current
administration doesn't want to pay back what was borrowed! What's

to
keep them from "borrowing" from the new system?


Nada.

Yep.

73 de Jim, N2EY


Mike Coslo March 3rd 05 02:03 AM

wrote:
Michael Coslo wrote:

wrote

Michael Coslo wrote:


Back in the '50s and '60s, and maybe even into the '70s, almost all
new hams were teenagers or young adults. Young people still make up a
goodpercentage of new hams, but since about the mid-late 1970s we've
seen an increasing percentage of older people as newcomers. Indeed, back

in the early 1980s - *before* the Tech lost its code test - there was
(and still is) a surge of retired and almost-retired folks in these
parts getting ham licenses. Lots of new faces and lots of great hams, but
unfortunately most of them won't be hams long enough to join OOTC.


The Demographic shift in Amateur Radio is similar to many other
hobbies/avocations. I think once the dust settles, the typical new
ham will be in his or her 40's, and wanting to have a new pursuit after
becoming financially stable and perhaps having a bit more spare time
in his hands.

The exact same thing has already happened in my other hobby, Amateur
Astronomy.



Maybe.

But a lot of folks I know who are in their '40s don't fit your
description, struggling with jobs, kids, etc.


And I know some people in their 60's who have just bought a house. They
may or may not finish their mortgage.

My point is that a new demographic is emerging. It is one of a mature
person who has decided to get into a hobby as they start to have a bit
more leisure time. For myself, that started when I was in my mid-late
40's, as my son graduated high school and the travel hockey wound down.
All that tends to free up the finances a bit also.

But it is indisputable that the reductions in requirements have NOT
had any sort of significant positive impact on the Ham community.



Not long-term, anyway.


Despite the hand wringing, there is a place for achieving
something that means something. A test that is a challenge? So what? I
personally think that the ARS is only strengthened by attracting
people that enjoy a bit of a challenge.



That's a key point.


I think it has been adequately proven that many if not most of the
people that think that Element one needs to go away are also in
favor of reduced overall licensing requirements. Certainly the leading
organization for removal of the Morse test is.


Yep. And if Element 1 is removed, and we still don't get growth,
guess what's next? NCVEC has already shown their hand.


Let us not forget NCI.



Basically that position consists of accepting almost any compromise
that will get rid of the code test.


I think it is apparent by now that they have done major damage to their
credibility.


Note that almost 5 years after the 200 restructuring we still
retain more than 50% of Novices and 75% of Advanceds.



This indicates to me a significant number of inactive hams. Sure,

there are some who are satisfied with their license privs, but I suspect
a lot more are SK or have dropped out.

Pretty much



This has always been the case since I've been a ham. It's gotten worse
since the 10 year license term.

The number of Techs continues to grow in part because all Tech
Pluses have been renewed as Techs since April 2000. But the total number
of Techs and Tech Pluses is s few percent lower than it was in 2000.



Agreed! But of course people have to know what ham radio *is* to
do that!

Someone suggested some short commercial spots on time.


"on time"?

Typo! "one" time...


I wonder if that
has ever been done. Nothing too elaborate, just getting the
name out there.

Good idea, but expensive.

Seems like there are Hams that are professionals in the field that
might be willing to help!......


Still have to buy the time.


I would bet that a well thought out program could get some public
service spots on local access TV.

I guess I'm not inspiring you yet? 8^)


Local access TV may bring in a few folks, but not like network TV.


Of course. But it would still be getting a message out.

Maybe PBS could do a special? Imagine if Ken Burns did a documentary on
amateur radio...


Now your talking! hehe.



Yet the NCVEC folks say the solution is to create a class of ham
that can't use rigs with more than 30 volts on the electronics...

Goofy, goofy, goofy!


Tell it to NCVEC. They think they know better than you.

From what I gather, their underlying concern was actually that
they think their VE's were having to work too hard.


Perhaps. Also, the "Amateur Radio in the 21st Century" paper
equated passing the code test with winning the Tour de France or painting
the Mona Lisa,


Wow! now I feel really great about passing!!! ;^)


Didja read that paper, and my rebuttal?


I read the paper (don't know if I should say *yawn* or *ick*. I didn't
read your comment tho'.


and described the stress of dealing with grown people crying
because they'd flunked the code test....boo-hoo....

Funny you should mention that. the first time I took element 1... and


flunked... I was not pleased, but Figured I'd do it again, the person
who was the most upset was the VE. I felt worse for him than myself.



Lessee...I was 14 and flunked 13 wpm the first go because the examiner
couldn't read my longhand. What the sadistic IHM nuns called "Palmer
Method", for some reason.


So you went to the catholic school at Our Lady of the Perpetual
Responsibility, eh?

So I went home and taught myself to block print and copy Morse in big
square capital letters (a skill not taught in the parochial schools of
the day) and came back some weeks later, when I passed easily.

I don't think tears would have had any effect on ol' Joe Squelch back
then...


Shrub says hydrogen is the answer. Oh the humanity.



Hydrogen's energy density issues make for some problems. That
Excursion will have to tack on another 10 miles per hour on trips to make up
for all the fuel stops needed.


Naw, just liquefy the stuff.


Yoiks! Liquid H? Even if, the energy density is still quite a bit
less than gasoline. something like 25 percent.

Storage concerns are a big problem with the stuff. In a similar
fashion We have Natural gas buses in our area. Their tanks are on the bus
roof, and run the length of the bus. You just can't get as much energy out
of the stuff.



Didja know the USA is now *importing* LNG from the Middle East and
other places?


Ever stop to think about how much of that stuff used to be burned off at
the well head as "useless"? One more Yoiks!


The big problems a

- Handling a fuel that is a gas at STP is more complex than one

that is a liquid.

- Danger of fire and leaking pressure tanks

- Where's all the hydrogen supposed to come from?


Yup. While seawater might seem like the obvious way out, hydrolysis
of seawater produces interesting byproducts.



Yep. Plus - where do you get the electricity to hydrolyze the seawater?


I'm a big fan of nuclear energy, when it is done in a smart and safe
way. And there are smart and safe ways to do it.


Now tell the people in the western US that you want to take a huge
amount of their fresh water!! 8^) It is in short enough supply as it
is.


Might as well develop electric cars...


Welcome back to nuc energy!

One thing I am adamant about is that we should never try to extract the
energy needed to run our country from materials that humans need to
support life. Biofuels such as corn based ethanol, and hydrogen taken
from fresh water are big no-nos in my book. If we go down that road, we
may some day have to choose between propulsive energy and human life.


You mean like dragging the gay marriage issue into the Social
Security problem? 8^)


Yep. The interesting thing is that allowing gay civil unions would
*increase* tax revenue.


And speaking of marriage: One thing I find interesting is that the
divorce rates in the "red" states are consistently and clearly
higher than the rates in "blue" states. Seems those folks who rant and
rave about "family values" and "covenants" can't seem to stay hitched
very long.


All you have to do is meet some of the "reds", and you'll
immediately understand why they have such a high divorce rate......


Ya gotta be more specific than that!


hehe, when I think of the modern conservative, I keep getting this
vision of Old man Newt.



You mean the "family values" guy who had divorce papers served on his
first wife (who had supported him through law school and the early
struggles of his political career) while she was *in the hospital
undergoing cancer treatment*?


ah yes, you've heard of him? I notice he's being resurrected even now.

Here's the kind of thinking being put forth:


One plan being suggested in DC is for the USA to create a special
savings account for each baby born in the USA, starting on a
certain date. The Feds would put $2000 into each account each year until
the kid reaches 18. Total investment $36,000. Assuming about 6% annual
interest, each account would be worth over a million dollars when
the "baby" reached 65.

Nice retirement package, huh? Except it won't work for several
reasons


completely obvious to anyone with common sense.

Who pays that 6 percent interest?


That's the first problem.



The last time I checked, the rate
wasn't anywhere near that.


Bingo!



Taxes on that money? Capital gains?


The money would be tax exempt until the person began to draw upon
it.

Inflation?


That's a BIG one!

~30 years ago, when I was entering the job market out of college,
entry-level engineers with degrees were making about what *minimum
wage* is now. Go back 50 years, and a $5000/yr income put the

average person on Easy Street, able to support a middle-class family in a
way that $50,000/yr won't do today.

Even if inflation stays low over the next 65 years, $1 million

won't be enough to retire on. What really matters, of course, is what I call
"differential interest" - the difference between inflation and the
apparent interest rate. If you get interest of 6% and inflation of
2%, your money is really only growing at a rate of 4%.


Your going to have to have some sort of way that the guvmint
pays interest on the account when the prime is low, or you will be
creating a powerful incentive for citizens to want a high interest
rate which is counterproductive to the economy......The list goes on and
on.

Yep.



Also interesting how everyone in the US will retire a millionaire!


Sounds good until the reality cuts in. There are lots of
millionaires today - on paper anyway.



Ain't gonna work!


Yet that isn't some wild-eyed idea - it's something our alleged
leadership has suggested!


Hey yeah! The stock Market always goes up over the long term, right?



Yep. Whether it keeps up with inflation is another issue.


Even if it does, if you are using a market based system, the important
part is what the market is doing right before you retire.

While that may be true, people keep applying it to irrelevant issues.



This case is just one of using interest in a way that sounds good if
you don't look too deep.



By the way, did you know the producer of the "Swiftboat Veterns" is
now producing smear videos and literature against the AARP? The same
people they eagerly worked with a year or two earlier.



The Swift Boat dude has been playing that game for decades. Never mind
that lots of other vets, who served *with* Mr. Kerry, tell a completely
different story.


no shame, at long last, no shame.



Didn't AARP lose membership for supporting Shrub's prescription plan?


Not sure....


Consider these other problems:

If there are, say, 4 million births per year, the govt. will need
to put $8 billion into the accounts the first year, $16 billion the
second year, $24 billion the third year, etc. This won't stabilize until
the 18th year, when it reaches $144 billion per year being put aside in
these accounts. Most of that money would have to come from *new*
revenue sources, because the existing Social Security system would
have to continue to exist for a while. And that's based on *no* increase
in baby production!

Where's all that money supposed to come from?



Tax cuts.



HAW!


Seriously, if we reduce the tax rate all problems will go away!

- Mike KB3EIA -


Dave Heil March 3rd 05 05:36 AM

wrote:

Michael Coslo wrote:
wrote
Michael Coslo wrote:


Local access TV may bring in a few folks, but not like network TV.

Maybe PBS could do a special? Imagine if Ken Burns did a documentary on
amateur radio...


That could only be good. I've found the stuff done in the past by Dave
Bell and Roy Neal to be lacking. A good historical narrative leading to
the present and showing active hams doing what they do would be nice,
especially if they leave out anyone wearing a tee-shirt or ballcap
except perhaps in a Field Day scene.


Perhaps. Also, the "Amateur Radio in the 21st Century" paper

equated
passing the code test with winning the Tour de France or painting

the
Mona Lisa,


Wow! now I feel really great about passing!!! ;^)


I never got more of a buzz from passing a morse exam than I did when
passing a tough chemistry exam. Ah, but passing the entire exam for
obtaining a license opened a window to the world.

Didja read that paper, and my rebuttal?


No.

and described the stress of dealing with grown people crying
because they'd flunked the code test....boo-hoo....


Funny you should mention that. the first time I took element 1... and


flunked... I was not pleased, but Figured I'd do it again, the person


who was the most upset was the VE. I felt worse for him than myself.


Lessee...I was 14 and flunked 13 wpm the first go because the examiner
couldn't read my longhand. What the sadistic IHM nuns called "Palmer
Method",
for some reason.


You really wrote out the morse exam in longhand?

So I went home and taught myself to block print and copy Morse in big
square capital letters (a skill not taught in the parochial schools of
the day) and came back some weeks later, when I passed easily.


I started copying morse in block caps and it was an easy transition.
I'd done most of my schoolwork in upper and lower case printing 'cuz the
teachers had a rough time reading my left-handed scrawl.

I don't think tears would have had any effect on ol' Joe Squelch back
then...

on
We have Natural gas buses in our area. Their tanks are on the bus

roof,
and run the length of the bus. You just can't get as much energy out

of
the stuff.


Didja know the USA is now *importing* LNG from the Middle East and
other places?


We've been importing natural gas for decades. Ever hear of the "Big
Inch" pipeline?


Didn't AARP lose membership for supporting Shrub's prescription plan?


They lost me before that. They sent me that crummy "My Generation"
magazine about 50+ folks in denial over aging *and* AARP tried to
represent me on issues where I took strong exception to their views.
After three years of membership, I couldn't find a benefit to belonging.

Dave K8MN

[email protected] March 3rd 05 11:16 AM

Dave Heil wrote:
wrote:


Michael Coslo wrote:
wrote
Michael Coslo wrote:


Maybe PBS could do a special? Imagine if Ken Burns did a
documentary on amateur radio...


That could only be good. I've found the stuff done in the past by

Dave
Bell and Roy Neal to be lacking. A good historical narrative
leading to
the present and showing active hams doing what they do would be

nice,
especially if they leave out anyone wearing a tee-shirt or
ballcap except perhaps in a Field Day scene.

Joe Walsh and Patty Loveless....

Perhaps. Also, the "Amateur Radio in the 21st Century"

paper equated
passing the code test with winning the Tour de France
or painting the Mona Lisa,

Wow! now I feel really great about passing!!! ;^)


I never got more of a buzz from passing a morse exam than I did

when
passing a tough chemistry exam. Ah, but passing the entire
exam for
obtaining a license opened a window to the world.


Same here!

Didja read that paper, and my rebuttal?


No.


"Amateur Radio In the 21st Century" can be viewed here

http://gahleos.obarr.net/messages/0002.html

A detailed rebuttal in three parts:

http://groups-beta.google.com/group/...licy/msg/1f293
55163c4ed4e?dmode=source

http://groups-beta.google.com/group/...licy/msg/a0bb6
7064e87e3d8?dmode=source

http://groups-beta.google.com/group/...licy/msg/0fceb
52701a89334?dmode=source


Funny you should mention that. the first time I took element 1...

and

flunked... I was not pleased, but Figured I'd do it again, the

person

who was the most upset was the VE. I felt worse for him than

myself.

Lessee...I was 14 and flunked 13 wpm the first go because the

examiner
couldn't read my longhand. What the sadistic IHM nuns called

"Palmer
Method",
for some reason.


You really wrote out the morse exam in longhand?


Yep. That's all they taught in parochial school back then.
You'd get whacked across the knunckles with a hardwood ruler
for printing.

So I went home and taught myself to block print and copy
Morse in big
square capital letters (a skill not taught in the parochial
schools of
the day) and came back some weeks later, when I passed easily.


I started copying morse in block caps and it was an easy
transition.
I'd done most of my schoolwork in upper and lower case
printing 'cuz the
teachers had a rough time reading my left-handed scrawl.


I stopped using longhand for anything when I got out of high school.

Didja know the USA is now *importing* LNG from the Middle East and
other places?


We've been importing natural gas for decades.


But not by ship!

Ever hear of the "Big Inch" pipeline?


Oyez.

When I was a kid, there was a large part of South Philly devoted to the
gas works, where coal was heated to make producer gas and stored in
huge expandable tanks. The conversion to natural gas eliminated all
that.

Didn't AARP lose membership for supporting Shrub's
prescription plan?


They lost me before that. They sent me that crummy "My Generation"
magazine about 50+ folks in denial over aging *and* AARP tried to
represent me on issues where I took strong exception to their views.
After three years of membership, I couldn't find a benefit to

belonging.

I just got membership literature from them...can't see any reason to
join for the same reasons...

73 de Jim, N2EY


[email protected] March 3rd 05 01:25 PM

Mike Coslo wrote:
wrote:
Michael Coslo wrote:


wrote


Michael Coslo wrote:


And I know some people in their 60's who have just bought a house.

They
may or may not finish their mortgage.

My point is that a new demographic is emerging. It is one of a mature


person who has decided to get into a hobby as they start to have a

bit
more leisure time. For myself, that started when I was in my mid-late


40's, as my son graduated high school and the travel hockey wound

down.
All that tends to free up the finances a bit also.


I think that demographic has been around for at least 2-3 decades. But
your point is well taken.

And it has unforeseen effects, like driving the "average age" of US
hams upwards.

Local access TV may bring in a few folks, but not like network TV.


Of course. But it would still be getting a message out.

Maybe PBS could do a special? Imagine if Ken Burns did a

documentary on
amateur radio...


Now your talking! hehe.

'zactly

Yet the NCVEC folks say the solution is to create a class of

ham
that can't use rigs with more than 30 volts on the

electronics...

Goofy, goofy, goofy!


Tell it to NCVEC. They think they know better than you.

From what I gather, their underlying concern was actually that
they think their VE's were having to work too hard.


Perhaps. Also, the "Amateur Radio in the 21st Century" paper
equated passing the code test with winning the Tour de France or

painting
the Mona Lisa,

Wow! now I feel really great about passing!!! ;^)


Didja read that paper, and my rebuttal?


I read the paper (don't know if I should say *yawn* or *ick*. I

didn't
read your comment tho'.


Please see the links I posted in my reply to K8MN earlier today.

The NCVEC proposal is derived almost word-for-word from that paper.
Interesting to note the mistakes in the paper and its 'we know better
than you' tone from an author who *brags* he can't even pass the
current tests!

Makes the ARRL proposal look like a work of genius by comparison.


and described the stress of dealing with grown people crying
because they'd flunked the code test....boo-hoo....

Funny you should mention that. the first time I took element 1...

and

flunked... I was not pleased, but Figured I'd do it again, the

person
who was the most upset was the VE. I felt worse for him than

myself.


Lessee...I was 14 and flunked 13 wpm the first go because the

examiner
couldn't read my longhand. What the sadistic IHM nuns called

"Palmer
Method", for some reason.


So you went to the catholic school at Our Lady of the Perpetual
Responsibility, eh?


Yep. Only they weren't so nice as Sister Arvonne

Shrub says hydrogen is the answer. Oh the humanity.


Hydrogen's energy density issues make for some problems. That
Excursion will have to tack on another 10 miles per hour on trips

to make up
for all the fuel stops needed.


Naw, just liquefy the stuff.

Yoiks! Liquid H? Even if, the energy density is still quite a bit
less than gasoline. something like 25 percent.

Storage concerns are a big problem with the stuff. In a similar
fashion We have Natural gas buses in our area. Their tanks are on

the bus
roof, and run the length of the bus. You just can't get as much

energy out
of the stuff.



Didja know the USA is now *importing* LNG from the Middle East and
other places?


Ever stop to think about how much of that stuff used to be burned off

at
the well head as "useless"? One more Yoiks!

Not useless, just not economically competitive to recover and transport
at the time.

The big problems a

- Handling a fuel that is a gas at STP is more complex than one
that is a liquid.

- Danger of fire and leaking pressure tanks

- Where's all the hydrogen supposed to come from?

Yup. While seawater might seem like the obvious way out,

hydrolysis
of seawater produces interesting byproducts.



Yep. Plus - where do you get the electricity to hydrolyze the

seawater?

I'm a big fan of nuclear energy, when it is done in a smart and safe
way. And there are smart and safe ways to do it.


The plants are obvious terror targets. The long term problem is the
waste.

One solution being explored in places like Australia is the solar tower
concept. Uses desert land.

Now tell the people in the western US that you want to take a huge
amount of their fresh water!! 8^) It is in short enough supply as

it
is.


Might as well develop electric cars...


Welcome back to nuc energy!

One thing I am adamant about is that we should never try to extract

the
energy needed to run our country from materials that humans need to
support life. Biofuels such as corn based ethanol, and hydrogen taken


from fresh water are big no-nos in my book.


A point well taken! Hwoever, if fuels can be extracted from waste
products (TDP, for example) that's a win-win.

If we go down that road, we
may some day have to choose between propulsive energy and human life.


We already make that choice when we import oil from certain countries
and turn a blind eye to what else they do. Like the way the Reagan
administration and Shake Hands dealt with SH back in the '80s.

You mean like dragging the gay marriage issue into the Social
Security problem? 8^)

Yep. The interesting thing is that allowing gay civil unions

would
*increase* tax revenue.

And speaking of marriage: One thing I find interesting is that

the
divorce rates in the "red" states are consistently and clearly
higher than the rates in "blue" states. Seems those folks who

rant and
rave about "family values" and "covenants" can't seem to stay

hitched
very long.


All you have to do is meet some of the "reds", and you'll
immediately understand why they have such a high divorce

rate......


Ya gotta be more specific than that!

hehe, when I think of the modern conservative, I keep getting this
vision of Old man Newt.



You mean the "family values" guy who had divorce papers served on

his
first wife (who had supported him through law school and the early
struggles of his political career) while she was *in the hospital
undergoing cancer treatment*?


ah yes, you've heard of him?


Yeah - nice guy, huh? NOT!

"It's all about values"

I notice he's being resurrected even now.


Look up how many times Rush Limbaugh has been married...

Here's the kind of thinking being put forth:

One plan being suggested in DC is for the USA to create a

special
savings account for each baby born in the USA, starting on a
certain date. The Feds would put $2000 into each account each

year until
the kid reaches 18. Total investment $36,000. Assuming about 6%

annual
interest, each account would be worth over a million dollars

when
the "baby" reached 65.

Nice retirement package, huh? Except it won't work for several
reasons


completely obvious to anyone with common sense.

Who pays that 6 percent interest?


That's the first problem.



The last time I checked, the rate
wasn't anywhere near that.


Bingo!



Taxes on that money? Capital gains?


The money would be tax exempt until the person began to draw upon
it.

Inflation?


That's a BIG one!

~30 years ago, when I was entering the job market out of college,
entry-level engineers with degrees were making about what *minimum
wage* is now. Go back 50 years, and a $5000/yr income put the
average person on Easy Street, able to support a middle-class

family in a
way that $50,000/yr won't do today.

Even if inflation stays low over the next 65 years, $1 million
won't be enough to retire on. What really matters, of course, is

what I call
"differential interest" - the difference between inflation and the
apparent interest rate. If you get interest of 6% and inflation of
2%, your money is really only growing at a rate of 4%.


Your going to have to have some sort of way that the guvmint
pays interest on the account when the prime is low, or you will

be
creating a powerful incentive for citizens to want a high

interest
rate which is counterproductive to the economy......The list goes

on and
on.

Yep.



Also interesting how everyone in the US will retire a

millionaire!


Sounds good until the reality cuts in. There are lots of
millionaires today - on paper anyway.



Ain't gonna work!


Yet that isn't some wild-eyed idea - it's something our alleged
leadership has suggested!

Hey yeah! The stock Market always goes up over the long term,

right?


Yep. Whether it keeps up with inflation is another issue.


Even if it does, if you are using a market based system, the

important
part is what the market is doing right before you retire.


Not really, unless you intend to pull all your money out the day you
retire.

While that may be true, people keep applying it to irrelevant

issues.


This case is just one of using interest in a way that sounds good

if
you don't look too deep.



By the way, did you know the producer of the "Swiftboat Veterns"

is
now producing smear videos and literature against the AARP? The

same
people they eagerly worked with a year or two earlier.



The Swift Boat dude has been playing that game for decades. Never

mind
that lots of other vets, who served *with* Mr. Kerry, tell a

completely
different story.


no shame, at long last, no shame.



Didn't AARP lose membership for supporting Shrub's prescription

plan?

Not sure....


Consider these other problems:

If there are, say, 4 million births per year, the govt. will need
to put $8 billion into the accounts the first year, $16 billion

the
second year, $24 billion the third year, etc. This won't

stabilize until
the 18th year, when it reaches $144 billion per year being put

aside in
these accounts. Most of that money would have to come from *new*
revenue sources, because the existing Social Security system would
have to continue to exist for a while. And that's based on *no*

increase
in baby production!

Where's all that money supposed to come from?


Tax cuts.



HAW!


Seriously, if we reduce the tax rate all problems will go away!


Until tomorrow!

73 de Jim, N2EY


Mike Coslo March 4th 05 01:55 AM

wrote:

Dave Heil wrote:

wrote:



Michael Coslo wrote:

wrote

Michael Coslo wrote:



Maybe PBS could do a special? Imagine if Ken Burns did a
documentary on amateur radio...


That could only be good. I've found the stuff done in the past by


Dave

Bell and Roy Neal to be lacking. A good historical narrative
leading to
the present and showing active hams doing what they do would be


nice,

especially if they leave out anyone wearing a tee-shirt or
ballcap except perhaps in a Field Day scene.


Joe Walsh and Patty Loveless....


Perhaps. Also, the "Amateur Radio in the 21st Century"


paper equated

passing the code test with winning the Tour de France
or painting the Mona Lisa,

Wow! now I feel really great about passing!!! ;^)


I never got more of a buzz from passing a morse exam than I did


when

passing a tough chemistry exam. Ah, but passing the entire
exam for
obtaining a license opened a window to the world.



Same here!


Didja read that paper, and my rebuttal?


No.



"Amateur Radio In the 21st Century" can be viewed here

http://gahleos.obarr.net/messages/0002.html

A detailed rebuttal in three parts:

http://groups-beta.google.com/group/...licy/msg/1f293
55163c4ed4e?dmode=source

http://groups-beta.google.com/group/...licy/msg/a0bb6
7064e87e3d8?dmode=source

http://groups-beta.google.com/group/...licy/msg/0fceb
52701a89334?dmode=source


Jim, you gotta give tinyurl a try. Just go to http://www.tinyurl.com,
and copy and and paste the long URL in the field provided, and it will
make a tiny url for ya! Then put that in the message. All free

- Mike KB3EIA -


Dee Flint March 4th 05 05:04 AM


"Alun L. Palmer" wrote in message
.. .
wrote in
oups.com:


[snip]

It's the classic case of a red herring diversion. Blame the code test
for everyhting bad while the real problems are not addressed.

73 de Jim, N2EY



It depends what you mean. Will repealing the code test provide a vast
increase in numbers? No. Will it provide some increase? Yes.


I'd say that's more like a maybe rather than a yes.

Are there
thousands of hams that could pass the General or Extra theory trapped
above
30 MHz? Yes.


There are no hams "trapped above 30Mhz.

Will there be a large increase in HF use? Yes.


That is also a maybe. If the code is dropped this year, many will buy the
rigs and try it but may be sadly disappointed in the results since we are in
the trough of the sunspot cycle and results are so often poor right now.
They may not stick with it until conditions improve since they won't have
the skills to participate in the second most used mode of shortwave
communications.

Dee D. Flint, N8UZE



[email protected] March 4th 05 02:15 PM


Mike Coslo wrote:
wrote:


Didja read that paper, and my rebuttal?

No.



"Amateur Radio In the 21st Century" can be viewed here

http://gahleos.obarr.net/messages/0002.html

A detailed rebuttal in three parts:


http://groups-beta.google.com/group/...licy/msg/1f293
55163c4ed4e?dmode=source


http://groups-beta.google.com/group/...licy/msg/a0bb6
7064e87e3d8?dmode=source


http://groups-beta.google.com/group/...licy/msg/0fceb
52701a89334?dmode=source


Jim, you gotta give tinyurl a try. Just go to http://www.tinyurl.com,


and copy and and paste the long URL in the field provided, and it

will
make a tiny url for ya! Then put that in the message. All free


Let's try this again:


"Amateur Radio In the 21st Century" can be viewed he

http://gahleos.obarr.net/messages/0002.html

Or he

http://tinyurl.com/695p6

My detailed rebuttal in three parts can be viewed too.

Part 1 is he

http://groups-beta.google.com/group/...e?dmode=source

Or he

http://tinyurl.com/6385t


Part 2 is he

http://groups-beta.google.com/group/...8?dmode=source

Or he

http://tinyurl.com/4uvd5



Part 3 is he

http://groups-beta.google.com/group/...4?dmode=source

Or he

http://tinyurl.com/4kxah



See what these folks think is needed for the future of amateur
radio.

73 de Jim, N2EY



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