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Old January 27th 04, 06:24 AM
Zoran Brlecic
 
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Cecil Moore wrote:

Care to share? Not that I'm against carrying concealed and blasting
the criminals away, mind you. It's just that these type of claims have
regularly fallen under the urban legend category, i.e. fantasy.


I threw it away after reading. As I remember, crime in the US is
down 35% while crime in the UK is up 35%. Canada and Australia
were also mentioned as having increasing crime rates along with
their increasingly restrictive gun laws.


Well, I'd be extremely skeptical about this type of "statistics". For
one, I am sure they were not comparing the same periods, and there are
numerous tricks available for anyone who is attempting to prove anything
with statistical figures. Take, for example, the US 35% reduction in
crime rate. It is more than likely that this figure was achieved by
comparing the crime rate from the peak of a recession to its bottom. The
US crime rate always faithfully follows the economy - employed people
don't have to resort to crime. No connection to the CCW whatsoever. What
about the "increasing crime rate" in the UK or Canada? CCW has never
been legal in these countries to begin with, yet both countries have the
crime rate ten times lower than the US. I bet the mag never raised that
issue.

Even in the US, the highest crime rates are the states that have
the strictest gun laws. If you were a criminal, would you rather
break into a house in New York City or Dallas?


That's not how it works. A criminal in Dallas doesn't wake up one day
and decide to break into a house, following up with a visit to the local
library to do research on where he's less likely to get shot, then
catching a bus to Big Apple. Also, the crime rate - gun law strictness
comparison is a common post hoc fallacy. Is it possible that the
relationship is inverse: because those states have the highest crime
rates, they instituted the strictest gun laws?

While I was living near Phoenix, "The Phoenix Sun" reported that
an attempted robbery using a knife at a local Circle-K was foiled
by an ordinary customer who was carrying a concealed weapon.


It happens. However, this type of testimonial evidence proves little.
I'm not sure that as a neutral bystander I'd like to be in the middle of
a shoot-out between the criminals and armed civilians. Even the police
makes numerous mistakes in these types of situations, and we are to
believe that any Joe Blow is capable of handling a situation where even
the cops call for backup first.

"First Freedom" magazine carries about ten similar reports per month where
the good guys' guns foil the bad guy's violent crimes.


I'm sure they do. If I were the editor of a magazine pandering to the
gun owners, I'd do the same, while completely ignoring the negative
aspects.

But apparently
that is not newsworthy enough for the liberal newspapers.


"Liberal", as usual being defined as anything a person calling himself a
conservative hates in a given moment? A friendly reminder: fat-ass
hypocrite AM talk show drug addicts don't get to define liberalism and
liberals, especially not with their hate propaganda.


73 ... WA7AA

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  #22   Report Post  
Old January 27th 04, 06:27 AM
Zoran Brlecic
 
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Cecil Moore wrote:

Sorry Cecil, violent crime is the lowest it's been in 15 years
according to surveys by Statistics Canada as well as many demographic
studies conducted by different universities.


Is that the system where if a rape victim dies days after a rape,
without regaining consciousness, it is reported as neither a rape
nor a murder?


No, it isn't. And, btw, red herring.

73 ... WA7AA ex VA3GW

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Old January 27th 04, 06:41 AM
Tdonaly
 
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Zoran wrote,

Cecil Moore wrote:

Sorry Cecil, violent crime is the lowest it's been in 15 years
according to surveys by Statistics Canada as well as many demographic
studies conducted by different universities.


Is that the system where if a rape victim dies days after a rape,
without regaining consciousness, it is reported as neither a rape
nor a murder?


No, it isn't. And, btw, red herring.

73 ... WA7AA ex VA3GW

--


The BBC reports that violent crimes reported to the police were up 14% in
the UK last year, but a more accurate survey, the British Crime Report
said violent crime actually dropped 3%. Overall crime in the UK was supposed
to be stable. The old wive's tale that crime rises in proportion to the number
of
restrictive gun laws isn't born out by statistics.
73,
Tom Donaly, KA6RUH


  #24   Report Post  
Old January 27th 04, 04:21 PM
Cecil Moore
 
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Zoran Brlecic wrote:
No, it isn't. And, btw, red herring.


In one of those anti-gun countries, a crime is not reported as
an official crime until someone is convicted for the crime.
Unsolved crimes still on the books are not reported to the
outside world - bad for business.
--
73, Cecil http://www.qsl.net/w5dxp



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Old January 27th 04, 04:25 PM
Cecil Moore
 
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Tdonaly wrote:
The BBC reports that violent crimes reported to the police were up 14% in
the UK last year, but a more accurate survey, the British Crime Report
said violent crime actually dropped 3%.


This is probably because the UK doesn't consider that a crime officially
exists until someone is convicted for the crime. Thus, reported crimes
that remain unsolved don't make it into their "more accurate survey".
--
73, Cecil http://www.qsl.net/w5dxp



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  #26   Report Post  
Old January 27th 04, 04:48 PM
Cecil Moore
 
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Zoran Brlecic wrote:
"Liberal", as usual being defined as anything a person calling himself a
conservative hates in a given moment?


I'm not a conservative and didn't vote for Bush. I'm a libertarian.
I believe in as much freedom from governmental intervention as is
feasible. Republicans want to limit my social freedoms. Democrats
want to limit my economic freedoms. I'm against both of them.

My offhand comment wasn't designed to turn this thread into an endless
tirade against guns by gun-haters. Guns work well for personal defense
in the hands of trained average citizens. The percentage of concealed
carry permit holders involved in crimes is miniscule compared to the
general population.
--
73, Cecil http://www.qsl.net/w5dxp



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  #27   Report Post  
Old January 27th 04, 05:47 PM
CW
 
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What a great way to reduce crime. Just ignore it.

"Cecil Moore" wrote in message
...
Zoran Brlecic wrote:
No, it isn't. And, btw, red herring.


In one of those anti-gun countries, a crime is not reported as
an official crime until someone is convicted for the crime.
Unsolved crimes still on the books are not reported to the
outside world - bad for business.
--
73, Cecil http://www.qsl.net/w5dxp



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-----== Over 100,000 Newsgroups - 19 Different Servers! =-----



  #28   Report Post  
Old January 27th 04, 10:55 PM
Jana
 
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Guess it only helps with the Tourism !

CW wrote:

What a great way to reduce crime. Just ignore it.


  #29   Report Post  
Old January 28th 04, 04:23 AM
Bob
 
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Cecil Moore wrote:

Bob wrote:

Sorry Cecil, violent crime is the lowest it's been in 15 years
according to surveys by Statistics Canada as well as many demographic
studies conducted by different universities.



Is that the system where if a rape victim dies days after a rape,
without regaining consciousness, it is reported as neither a rape
nor a murder?



No sir, it's not. (and I was not trying to be confrontational either, so
lets leave out the tangential speculation/hearsay please.)

So I suppose the original question remains unanswered:

Where did you read/hear crime is Canada is skyrocketing?
(It's a sincere question sir, stats published up here indicate it's been
declining steadily for over a decade. If you're reading current reports
of it being increasing at an alarming rate, where exactly are you
getting that data?)

Thanks,
Bob (yet another non-violent law abiding Canadian :-)

  #30   Report Post  
Old January 28th 04, 05:37 AM
Cecil Moore
 
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Bob wrote:
So I suppose the original question remains unanswered:
Where did you read/hear crime is Canada is skyrocketing?


For the nth time, I read it in the latest "First Freedom"
magazine. Please stop asking questions that I have already
answered multiple times and let's get back to antennas.
--
73, Cecil http://www.qsl.net/w5dxp



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