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#1
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SOME OBSERVATIONS ABOUT THE CODELESS "REVOLUTION"
Based solely on www.hamdata.com published statistics from 22 February to 3 March 2007, there doesn't seem to be the kind of "revolution" nor the influx of CB hordes expected by the long-timers. Specifically, the table below uses the small block of daily statistics that appears to the left of the license class totals. Since the data of the data is derived from FCC database files, the numberic values represent daily quantities from FCC actions the day befo NEW EXPIRED UPDATES CALL CHG. CLASS CHG === ======= ======= ========= ========= 22 Feb, Thu. 174 172 894 49 88 23 Feb, Fri. 78 83 432 5 44 24 Feb, Sat. 190 127 494 47 121 25 Feb, Sun. 1 95 195 20 13 26 Feb, Mon. 0 0 58 0 0 27 Feb, Tue. 144 2 700 13 347 28 Feb, Wed. 99 168 846 44 89 1 Mar, Thu. 138 203 783 13 369 2 Mar, Fri. 87 204 729 12 346 3 Mar, Sat. 85 168 724 83 270 NEW = Never before licensed or retest after long absence EXPIRED = Past the two-year grace period UPDATES = Renewals, address changes, adminstrative changes, not 'upgrades' to another class CALL CHG = Changed call sign of existing license CLASS CHG = Changed class of license (mostly 'upgrades') Numbers for 25 and 26 Feb idicate the weekend off for FCC; Expirations would probably be automatic as a result of computer check of pre-determined grace period end. The Updates column may be a result of more automation from renewals received and thus might be due to just computer activity automatically changing the licensing dates. Tuesday the 27th probably indicates the beginning of the "deluge" of VEC input that arrived on the Monday before. The sudden jump in Class Changes is no doubt from existing "lower" class Techs or Tech Plusses moving up to General. What is interesting is that there don't seem to be ANY significant change of NEW licensees' daily numbers. Those have overwhelmingly come from unlicensed entering the Tech class and have been at a constant increase since Tech was created in 1991. The totals of Technician class HAVE started to drop since the 23rd of February and continue to decrease slowly; it is very certain that class' licensees have upgraded to General or Extra now that there is no code test requirement. Whatever, it seems clear at a week after 06-178 became legal that there isn't much of any influx of newcomers. In the last 12 months www.hamdata.com reports that 22,609 NEW licensees entered. In the same period, 29,096 licenses EXPIRED. Licensee grand total dropped by 6,487 in that past period. A good thing or bad one? |
#2
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On Mar 3, 10:30 pm, "
wrote: SOME OBSERVATIONS ABOUT THE CODELESS "REVOLUTION" Based solely onwww.hamdata.compublished statistics from 22 February to 3 March 2007, there doesn't seem to be the kind of "revolution" nor the influx of CB hordes expected by the long-timers. Specifically, the table below uses the small block of daily statistics that appears to the left of the license class totals. Since the data of the data is derived from FCC database files, the numberic values represent daily quantities from FCC actions the day befo NEW EXPIRED UPDATES CALL CHG. CLASS CHG === ======= ======= ========= ========= 22 Feb, Thu. 174 172 894 49 88 23 Feb, Fri. 78 83 432 5 44 24 Feb, Sat. 190 127 494 47 121 25 Feb, Sun. 1 95 195 20 13 26 Feb, Mon. 0 0 58 0 0 27 Feb, Tue. 144 2 700 13 347 28 Feb, Wed. 99 168 846 44 89 1 Mar, Thu. 138 203 783 13 369 2 Mar, Fri. 87 204 729 12 346 3 Mar, Sat. 85 168 724 83 270 NEW = Never before licensed or retest after long absence EXPIRED = Past the two-year grace period UPDATES = Renewals, address changes, adminstrative changes, not 'upgrades' to another class CALL CHG = Changed call sign of existing license CLASS CHG = Changed class of license (mostly 'upgrades') Numbers for 25 and 26 Feb idicate the weekend off for FCC; Expirations would probably be automatic as a result of computer check of pre-determined grace period end. The Updates column may be a result of more automation from renewals received and thus might be due to just computer activity automatically changing the licensing dates. Tuesday the 27th probably indicates the beginning of the "deluge" of VEC input that arrived on the Monday before. The sudden jump in Class Changes is no doubt from existing "lower" class Techs or Tech Plusses moving up to General. What is interesting is that there don't seem to be ANY significant change of NEW licensees' daily numbers. Those have overwhelmingly come from unlicensed entering the Tech class and have been at a constant increase since Tech was created in 1991. The totals of Technician class HAVE started to drop since the 23rd of February and continue to decrease slowly; it is very certain that class' licensees have upgraded to General or Extra now that there is no code test requirement. Whatever, it seems clear at a week after 06-178 became legal that there isn't much of any influx of newcomers. In the last 12 monthswww.hamdata.comreports that 22,609 NEW licensees entered. In the same period, 29,096 licenses EXPIRED. Licensee grand total dropped by 6,487 in that past period. A good thing or bad one? Well, I see it as people are no longer interested in Ham Radio. The internet is here. People hang out at boards like Nim Busters and do talk shows these days... Well, this data also puts them extra-class blow hards at ease. We dont them all having heart attacks and becoming silent keys.... Lest we have less hams then... |
#3
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On Mar 4, 12:36 am, "Lloyd A Davies" wrote:
On Mar 3, 10:30 pm, " wrote: Well, this data also puts them extra-class blow hards at ease. We dont them all having heart attacks and becoming silent keys.... Lest we have less hams then...- sadly some of them we can well spare and frankly it might spare them a lot of pain too |
#4
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On Mar 3, 11:30 pm, "
wrote: SOME OBSERVATIONS ABOUT THE CODELESS "REVOLUTION" Based solely onwww.hamdata.compublished statistics from 22 February to 3 March 2007, there doesn't seem to be the kind of "revolution" nor the influx of CB hordes expected by the long-timers. Specifically, the table below uses the small block of daily statistics that appears to the left of the license class totals. Since the data of the data is derived from FCC database files, the numberic values represent daily quantities from FCC actions the day befo NEW EXPIRED UPDATES CALL CHG. CLASS CHG === ======= ======= ========= ========= 22 Feb, Thu. 174 172 894 49 88 23 Feb, Fri. 78 83 432 5 44 24 Feb, Sat. 190 127 494 47 121 25 Feb, Sun. 1 95 195 20 13 26 Feb, Mon. 0 0 58 0 0 27 Feb, Tue. 144 2 700 13 347 28 Feb, Wed. 99 168 846 44 89 1 Mar, Thu. 138 203 783 13 369 2 Mar, Fri. 87 204 729 12 346 3 Mar, Sat. 85 168 724 83 270 NEW = Never before licensed or retest after long absence EXPIRED = Past the two-year grace period UPDATES = Renewals, address changes, adminstrative changes, not 'upgrades' to another class CALL CHG = Changed call sign of existing license CLASS CHG = Changed class of license (mostly 'upgrades') Numbers for 25 and 26 Feb idicate the weekend off for FCC; Expirations would probably be automatic as a result of computer check of pre-determined grace period end. The Updates column may be a result of more automation from renewals received and thus might be due to just computer activity automatically changing the licensing dates. Tuesday the 27th probably indicates the beginning of the "deluge" of VEC input that arrived on the Monday before. The sudden jump in Class Changes is no doubt from existing "lower" class Techs or Tech Plusses moving up to General. What is interesting is that there don't seem to be ANY significant change of NEW licensees' daily numbers. Those have overwhelmingly come from unlicensed entering the Tech class and have been at a constant increase since Tech was created in 1991. The totals of Technician class HAVE started to drop since the 23rd of February and continue to decrease slowly; it is very certain that class' licensees have upgraded to General or Extra now that there is no code test requirement. Whatever, it seems clear at a week after 06-178 became legal that there isn't much of any influx of newcomers. In the last 12 monthswww.hamdata.comreports that 22,609 NEW licensees entered. In the same period, 29,096 licenses EXPIRED. Licensee grand total dropped by 6,487 in that past period. A good thing or bad one? Eventually, they'll all be Extras and my wish for a one class amateur radio service will be fulfilled. We should change the name of that license to: Amateur. |
#5
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There will ultimately be two classes of ham radio license.
Tech, and Extra. Or Class A and Class B. A VHF+ entry-level license, and a license with all privileges. Just as I suggested in my Y2K NPRM restructuring comments, I might add. |
#6
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![]() wrote in message oups.com... On Mar 3, 11:30 pm, " wrote: SOME OBSERVATIONS ABOUT THE CODELESS "REVOLUTION" Based solely onwww.hamdata.compublished statistics from 22 February to 3 March 2007, there doesn't seem to be the kind of "revolution" nor the influx of CB hordes expected by the long-timers. Specifically, the table below uses the small block of daily statistics that appears to the left of the license class totals. Since the data of the data is derived from FCC database files, the numberic values represent daily quantities from FCC actions the day befo NEW EXPIRED UPDATES CALL CHG. CLASS CHG === ======= ======= ========= ========= 22 Feb, Thu. 174 172 894 49 88 23 Feb, Fri. 78 83 432 5 44 24 Feb, Sat. 190 127 494 47 121 25 Feb, Sun. 1 95 195 20 13 26 Feb, Mon. 0 0 58 0 0 27 Feb, Tue. 144 2 700 13 347 28 Feb, Wed. 99 168 846 44 89 1 Mar, Thu. 138 203 783 13 369 2 Mar, Fri. 87 204 729 12 346 3 Mar, Sat. 85 168 724 83 270 NEW = Never before licensed or retest after long absence EXPIRED = Past the two-year grace period UPDATES = Renewals, address changes, adminstrative changes, not 'upgrades' to another class CALL CHG = Changed call sign of existing license CLASS CHG = Changed class of license (mostly 'upgrades') Numbers for 25 and 26 Feb idicate the weekend off for FCC; Expirations would probably be automatic as a result of computer check of pre-determined grace period end. The Updates column may be a result of more automation from renewals received and thus might be due to just computer activity automatically changing the licensing dates. Tuesday the 27th probably indicates the beginning of the "deluge" of VEC input that arrived on the Monday before. The sudden jump in Class Changes is no doubt from existing "lower" class Techs or Tech Plusses moving up to General. What is interesting is that there don't seem to be ANY significant change of NEW licensees' daily numbers. Those have overwhelmingly come from unlicensed entering the Tech class and have been at a constant increase since Tech was created in 1991. The totals of Technician class HAVE started to drop since the 23rd of February and continue to decrease slowly; it is very certain that class' licensees have upgraded to General or Extra now that there is no code test requirement. Whatever, it seems clear at a week after 06-178 became legal that there isn't much of any influx of newcomers. In the last 12 monthswww.hamdata.comreports that 22,609 NEW licensees entered. In the same period, 29,096 licenses EXPIRED. Licensee grand total dropped by 6,487 in that past period. A good thing or bad one? Eventually, they'll all be Extras and my wish for a one class amateur radio service will be fulfilled. We should change the name of that license to: Amateur. While I agree that a significant percentage will go on to Extra, I also think that there will be a noticeable percentage who will stay at General. Unless you are into contesting or DXing, there is not a lot of advantage to getting an Extra. Dee, N8UZE |
#7
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![]() "KH6HZ" wrote in message ... There will ultimately be two classes of ham radio license. Tech, and Extra. Or Class A and Class B. A VHF+ entry-level license, and a license with all privileges. Just as I suggested in my Y2K NPRM restructuring comments, I might add. I disagree. My bet is that we'll indeed have a de facto two level license system but I think they will be General and Extra. The step from Tech to General is not that difficult and the licensee will have access to all modes, power levels and bands. Unless you are into DXing, contesting or being a VE, the additional privileges that Extra licensees have are not that much of an advantage. I, for one, encourage all those studying for Technician to go ahead and get the General study guide and go for it either at the first sitting or as soon as possible thereafter. The Technician will be basically turn into a very temporary way station on their climb up the ladder. In my opinion, the Technicians who stay at that level will primarily be those who are inactive. Dee, N8UZE |
#8
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On Mar 4, 9:00 am, "Dee Flint" wrote:
wrote in message oups.com... On Mar 3, 11:30 pm, " wrote: SOME OBSERVATIONS ABOUT THE CODELESS "REVOLUTION" Based solely onwww.hamdata.compublishedstatistics from 22 February to 3 March 2007, there doesn't seem to be the kind of "revolution" nor the influx of CB hordes expected by the long-timers. Specifically, the table below uses the small block of daily statistics that appears to the left of the license class totals. Since the data of the data is derived from FCC database files, the numberic values represent daily quantities from FCC actions the day befo NEW EXPIRED UPDATES CALL CHG. CLASS CHG === ======= ======= ========= ========= 22 Feb, Thu. 174 172 894 49 88 23 Feb, Fri. 78 83 432 5 44 24 Feb, Sat. 190 127 494 47 121 25 Feb, Sun. 1 95 195 20 13 26 Feb, Mon. 0 0 58 0 0 27 Feb, Tue. 144 2 700 13 347 28 Feb, Wed. 99 168 846 44 89 1 Mar, Thu. 138 203 783 13 369 2 Mar, Fri. 87 204 729 12 346 3 Mar, Sat. 85 168 724 83 270 NEW = Never before licensed or retest after long absence EXPIRED = Past the two-year grace period UPDATES = Renewals, address changes, adminstrative changes, not 'upgrades' to another class CALL CHG = Changed call sign of existing license CLASS CHG = Changed class of license (mostly 'upgrades') Numbers for 25 and 26 Feb idicate the weekend off for FCC; Expirations would probably be automatic as a result of computer check of pre-determined grace period end. The Updates column may be a result of more automation from renewals received and thus might be due to just computer activity automatically changing the licensing dates. Tuesday the 27th probably indicates the beginning of the "deluge" of VEC input that arrived on the Monday before. The sudden jump in Class Changes is no doubt from existing "lower" class Techs or Tech Plusses moving up to General. What is interesting is that there don't seem to be ANY significant change of NEW licensees' daily numbers. Those have overwhelmingly come from unlicensed entering the Tech class and have been at a constant increase since Tech was created in 1991. The totals of Technician class HAVE started to drop since the 23rd of February and continue to decrease slowly; it is very certain that class' licensees have upgraded to General or Extra now that there is no code test requirement. Whatever, it seems clear at a week after 06-178 became legal that there isn't much of any influx of newcomers. In the last 12 monthswww.hamdata.comreportsthat 22,609 NEW licensees entered. In the same period, 29,096 licenses EXPIRED. Licensee grand total dropped by 6,487 in that past period. A good thing or bad one? Eventually, they'll all be Extras and my wish for a one class amateur radio service will be fulfilled. We should change the name of that license to: Amateur. While I agree that a significant percentage will go on to Extra, I also think that there will be a noticeable percentage who will stay at General. Unless you are into contesting or DXing, there is not a lot of advantage to getting an Extra. Dee, N8UZE Dee, as a Technician (from Novice), I enjoyed DXing and Contesting on 10M SSB. Lots of fun. |
#9
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On Mar 4, 9:10 am, "Dee Flint" wrote:
"KH6HZ" wrote in message ... There will ultimately be two classes of ham radio license. Tech, and Extra. Or Class A and Class B. A VHF+ entry-level license, and a license with all privileges. Just as I suggested in my Y2K NPRM restructuring comments, I might add. I disagree. My bet is that we'll indeed have a de facto two level license system but I think they will be General and Extra. I've been on record for a long, long time advocating a one license "system." However, I've compromised with Hans suggestion of a simple entry level license, and a full license. Whover said we needed more license classes ought to have his head examined. |
#10
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![]() wrote in message ps.com... On Mar 4, 9:00 am, "Dee Flint" wrote: wrote in message oups.com... On Mar 3, 11:30 pm, " wrote: SOME OBSERVATIONS ABOUT THE CODELESS "REVOLUTION" Based solely onwww.hamdata.compublishedstatistics from 22 February to 3 March 2007, there doesn't seem to be the kind of "revolution" nor the influx of CB hordes expected by the long-timers. Specifically, the table below uses the small block of daily statistics that appears to the left of the license class totals. Since the data of the data is derived from FCC database files, the numberic values represent daily quantities from FCC actions the day befo NEW EXPIRED UPDATES CALL CHG. CLASS CHG === ======= ======= ========= ========= 22 Feb, Thu. 174 172 894 49 88 23 Feb, Fri. 78 83 432 5 44 24 Feb, Sat. 190 127 494 47 121 25 Feb, Sun. 1 95 195 20 13 26 Feb, Mon. 0 0 58 0 0 27 Feb, Tue. 144 2 700 13 347 28 Feb, Wed. 99 168 846 44 89 1 Mar, Thu. 138 203 783 13 369 2 Mar, Fri. 87 204 729 12 346 3 Mar, Sat. 85 168 724 83 270 NEW = Never before licensed or retest after long absence EXPIRED = Past the two-year grace period UPDATES = Renewals, address changes, adminstrative changes, not 'upgrades' to another class CALL CHG = Changed call sign of existing license CLASS CHG = Changed class of license (mostly 'upgrades') Numbers for 25 and 26 Feb idicate the weekend off for FCC; Expirations would probably be automatic as a result of computer check of pre-determined grace period end. The Updates column may be a result of more automation from renewals received and thus might be due to just computer activity automatically changing the licensing dates. Tuesday the 27th probably indicates the beginning of the "deluge" of VEC input that arrived on the Monday before. The sudden jump in Class Changes is no doubt from existing "lower" class Techs or Tech Plusses moving up to General. What is interesting is that there don't seem to be ANY significant change of NEW licensees' daily numbers. Those have overwhelmingly come from unlicensed entering the Tech class and have been at a constant increase since Tech was created in 1991. The totals of Technician class HAVE started to drop since the 23rd of February and continue to decrease slowly; it is very certain that class' licensees have upgraded to General or Extra now that there is no code test requirement. Whatever, it seems clear at a week after 06-178 became legal that there isn't much of any influx of newcomers. In the last 12 monthswww.hamdata.comreportsthat 22,609 NEW licensees entered. In the same period, 29,096 licenses EXPIRED. Licensee grand total dropped by 6,487 in that past period. A good thing or bad one? Eventually, they'll all be Extras and my wish for a one class amateur radio service will be fulfilled. We should change the name of that license to: Amateur. While I agree that a significant percentage will go on to Extra, I also think that there will be a noticeable percentage who will stay at General. Unless you are into contesting or DXing, there is not a lot of advantage to getting an Extra. Dee, N8UZE Dee, as a Technician (from Novice), I enjoyed DXing and Contesting on 10M SSB. Lots of fun. Yup, 10 meters is a fun band. However as a Tech, you only get part of it. While there can certainly be a lot of DX in the Tech portion, I've seen it full from top to bottom with DX during a contest if the band is open. You could have even more fun if you upgrade. When the band has been really open, I've enjoyed working up at the top end where FM is allowed. However, my comment was addressing the avid, heavy duty DXer/contester. For the casual operator, the General usually conveys a wide enough range of spectrum. Dee, N8UZE |
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