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The K7RA Solar Update
SEATTLE, WA, Mar 24, 2006--There were no zero-sunspot days over the past week. In fact, the average daily sunspot number was a little more than double the previous week's numbers, rising by more than 17 points to 33.4. This was a nice little uptick toward the solar cycle minimum, coming with the start of spring in the Northern Hemisphere. Unfortunately for HF operators, the average geomagnetic numbers doubled as well. This and the associated aurora were triggered by a solar wind stream that hit Earth starting last Saturday, March 18. Maximal effects were felt the following day, when the College A index--measured less than two degrees latitude south of the Arctic Circle--rose to 51 on March 19. Saturday's College A index was 39, but on Friday, March 17 it was only 2--very quiet. The Planetary A index over those same days was 3, 26 and 37, and the mid-latitude A index was 2, 15 and 24. This weekend is the CQ World Wide WPX Contest (SSB), and there shouldn't be any nasty surprises regarding propagation. Predicted planetary A index for the next five days, March 24-28, is 12, 12, 10, 7 and 5. For more information concerning propagation and an explanation of the numbers used in this bulletin see the ARRL Technical Information Service Propagation page. An archive of past bulletins is on the ARRL Web site. Sunspot numbers for March 16 through 22 were 22, 24, 27, 40, 33, 39 and 49, with a mean of 33.4. The 10.7 cm flux was 72.4, 72, 72.4, 75.2, 76.9, 76.7, and 75.9, with a mean of 74.5. Estimated planetary A indices were 6, 3, 26, 37, 22, 13 and 10, with a mean of 16.7. Estimated mid-latitude A indices were 4, 2, 15, 24, 14, 8 and 9, with a mean of 10.9. (K7RA, ARRL) dxAce Michigan USA |
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